TRW Weekly Report For June 28th-July 2nd, 2010

Bear, Bear, Bear, Bear, Bear. That was the market trend for last week to close at 25,154.30 points. The worst rally NSE ASI has recorded for the year.

The resistance of 25,200 points which we've been noting over the past couple of weeks, seems to have been broken and spooked traders directions in a selling frenzy.

From a technical perspective, the Relative Strength index has fallen from overbought levels (above 70) to Oversold levels (below 50), which is used by bearish traders as a sell signal. This points to a downward move in the indexes, but you'll notice that the RSI value on the charts of the major indexes is near 30, and last support line was RSI 34, This reading generally suggests that the supply and demand aspects of the stock are nearing a balancing point.

Also for now I am finding more and more stocks on a daily time frame  falling out of favour with the bulls. While few are still in an upward trend despite the drop in current rally.

This coming will surely give a clearer picture if this downward momentum is a brief period of consolidation before the bulls step in again.

 

BOTTOM LINE

The markets are at an area where traders need to show patience. Overall, most of the market indexes indicators are right in the area of their most recent lows. The weakness shown this week was not promising at all, but there is the possibility that the markets will form a higher low in this area.

This would be a positive sign, and could cement the recent area as a more important intermediate low. However, it is still too early to interpret the possibility that this will happen, and there is still the real possibility that the markets will flounder in this area for a while before breaking much lower if current levels don't hold.

 

This is why traders need to show patience, and allow the markets to fluctuate until more clear patterns emerge. While it is tempting to try to pick the bottom of this pullback, traders are probably better served waiting for the markets to stabilize and present a better opportunity.

Use TRW STOCKBROKERS STOCKS WATCH LIST FOR MULTIPLE TIME FRAME OF DAILY, WEEKLY & MONTHLY as your trading guide
Have a Great Trading week.

 INDEX

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

Weekly

Yearly

NSE

21/05/2010

27753.13

26784.90

-3.49

28.61

NSE 30

21/05/2010

1145.24

1109.71

-3.10

34.02

NSE BANKING

21/05/2010

440.43

422.04

-4.18

24.38

NSE F&B

21/05/2010

865.75

848.43

-2.00

61.08

NSE INS

21/05/2010

206.11

197.26

-4.29

-20.78

NSE O&G

21/05/2010

414.53

405.43

-2.20

40.74

 

 
WEEKLY GAINERS

Ticker

Date

Previous

        Price

    Weekly

WAPIC

25/06/2010

       0.59

       0.70

     18.64

TANTALIZER

25/06/2010

       0.86

       0.96

     11.63

AFRIBANK

25/06/2010

       1.95

       2.14

       9.74

UPL

25/06/2010

       6.03

       6.40

       6.14

BIGTREAT

25/06/2010

       0.68

       0.72

       5.88

CONOIL

25/06/2010

     50.00

     52.50

       5.00

ZENITHBANK

25/06/2010

     13.70

     14.05

       2.55

STARCOMMS

25/06/2010

       2.35

       2.40

       2.13

INTERCONT

25/06/2010

       1.56

       1.59

       1.92

WEMABANK

25/06/2010

       1.06

       1.08

       1.89

VITAFOAM

25/06/2010

       6.40

       6.52

       1.87

UACN

25/06/2010

     41.00

     41.50

       1.22

 WEEKLY LOSERS

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

Weekly

CRUSADER

25/06/2010

       0.72

       0.57

-20.83

COSTAIN

25/06/2010

       7.99

       6.58

-17.65

MAYBAKER

25/06/2010

       6.30

       5.57

-11.59

FIRSTINLND

25/06/2010

       0.59

       0.53

-10.17

JAPAULOIL

25/06/2010

       1.78

       1.60

-10.11

UNIC

25/06/2010

       0.63

       0.57

-9.52

OCEANIC

25/06/2010

       1.79

       1.62

-9.50

STERLNBANK

25/06/2010

       1.90

       1.72

-9.47

CADBURY

25/06/2010

     28.77

     26.05

-9.45

FCMB

25/06/2010

       8.35

       7.62

-8.74

AIICO

25/06/2010

       1.24

       1.14

-8.06

NIGERINS

25/06/2010

       1.03

       0.95

-7.77

ECOBANK

25/06/2010

       5.00

       4.65

-7.00

DANGFLOUR

25/06/2010

     21.50

     20.04

-6.79

UBN

25/06/2010

       5.46

       5.10

-6.59

DIAMONDBNK

25/06/2010

       7.62

       7.12

-6.56

OANDO

25/06/2010

     78.00

     73.00

-6.41

PLATINUM

25/06/2010

       1.42

       1.33

-6.34

FIDELITYBK

25/06/2010

       2.72

       2.55

-6.25

BCC

25/06/2010

     66.05

     61.95

-6.21

NASCON

25/06/2010

       7.91

       7.42

-6.19

WAPCO

25/06/2010

     40.50

     38.00

-6.17

FLOURMILL

25/06/2010

     69.98

     66.10

-5.54

NEM

25/06/2010

       0.56

       0.53

-5.36

ASHAKACEM

25/06/2010

     19.20

     18.19

-5.26

PRESTIGE

25/06/2010

       3.62

       3.44

-4.97

UBA

25/06/2010

     11.27

     10.71

-4.97

NEIMETH

25/06/2010

       2.66

       2.53

-4.89

CCNN

25/06/2010

     18.68

     17.79

-4.76

PZ

25/06/2010

     31.49

     30.00

-4.73

FIRSTBANK

25/06/2010

     13.99

     13.34

-4.65

DANGSUGAR

25/06/2010

     19.90

     19.00

-4.52

JBERGER

25/06/2010

     55.00

     52.60

-4.36

CORNERST

25/06/2010

       0.69

       0.66

-4.35

INTENEGINS

25/06/2010

       0.53

       0.51

-3.77

CUSTODYINS

25/06/2010

       3.51

       3.40

-3.13

UNILEVER

25/06/2010

     23.99

     23.36

-2.63

ETI

25/06/2010

     16.71

     16.31

-2.39

ACCESS

25/06/2010

       8.36

       8.16

-2.39

SKYEBANK

25/06/2010

       8.17

       7.99

-2.2

NESTLE

25/06/2010

    367.50

    359.50

-2.18

GUARANTY

25/06/2010

     16.75

     16.40

-2.09

NBC

25/06/2010

     30.50

     30.00

-1.64

REDSTAREX

25/06/2010

       3.84

       3.78

-1.56

UNHOMES

25/06/2010

       0.74

       0.73

-1.35

AP

25/06/2010

     37.00

     36.58

-1.14

BAGCO

25/06/2010

       2.73

       2.70

-1.10

GUINNESS

25/06/2010

    159.60

    158.51

-0.68

NB

25/06/2010

     63.50

     63.30

-0.31

For  25/06/2010 the closing price was 25,154.25.(NSE INDEX)
Overall, the bias in prices is: DOWNWARDS.
Short term: Prices are STALLING.
Intermediate term: Prices are Trending
The projected upper bound is: 25,993.13.
The projected lower bound is: 24,218.43.
The projected closing price is: 25,105.78.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market. market.

For 25/06/2010 the closing price was 1,041.89(NSE30)
Overall, the bias in prices is: DOWNWARDS
Short term: Prices are STALLING
Intermediate term: Prices are RANGING.
The projected upper bound is: 1,077..91
The projected lower bound is: 1,002.84.
The projected closing price is: 1,040.38.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For  25/06/2010 the closing price was 387.72.(NSE BANKING)
Overall, the bias in prices is: DOWNWARDS.
Short term: Prices are STALLING
Intermediate term: Prices are Trending.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 407.49
The projected lower bound is:  365.65
The projected closing price is: 386.57
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market. .
 

For  25/06/2010 the closing price was 820.54.(NSE FOOD, BEV.& TOBACCO)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are stalling.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
The projected upper bound is: 855.76.
The projected lower bound is: 785.59.
The projected closing price is: 820.67
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

 

For  25/06/2010 the closing price was 187.42.(NSE INSURANCE)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are Trending
The projected upper bound is: 194.33.
The projected lower bound is: 179.68.
The projected closing price is: 187.01.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.
 

For 25/06/2010 the closing price was 404.89.(NSE OIL & GAS)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are moving
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
The projected upper bound is: 424.94
The projected lower bound is: 386.70.
The projected closing price is: 405.82.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

BELOW ARE TRW STOCKBROKERS STOCKS WATCH LIST FOR MULTIPLE TIME FRAME OF DAILY, WEEKLY & MONTHLY
SHORT TREND TRADERS TO USE MA 5
MEDIUM TREND TRADERS TO USE MA-50
LONG TERM TRADERS TO USE MA-100
MA (MOVING AVERAGE)

TICKER

DATE

MA-100

MA-50

MA-5

Overall Trend

Trend Phase

Comments

ACCESS

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

AFRIBANK

25/06/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

AIICO

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

AP

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

ASHAKACEM

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

ASOSAVINGS

25/06/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

BAGCO

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

BCC

25/06/2010

+

-

- - -

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

BIGTREAT

25/06/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CADBURY

25/06/2010

+

+

- -

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

CCNN

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

CHAMS

25/06/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

CILEASING

25/06/2010

+

-

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

CONOIL

25/06/2010

+

+

+ +

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

CONTINSURE

25/06/2010

+

+

 

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CORNERST

25/06/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

COSTAIN

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

CRUSADER

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

CUSTODYINS

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

DANGFLOUR

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

DANGSUGAR

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

DIAMONDBNK

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

ECOBANK

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

ETI

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

FCMB

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

FIDELITYBK

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

FIRSTBANK

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

FIRSTINLND

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

FLOURMILL

25/06/2010

+

-

- - -

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

FTNCOCOA

25/06/2010

+

-

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

GUARANTY

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

GUINEAINS

25/06/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

GUINNESS

25/06/2010

+ +

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

HMARKINS

25/06/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

IBTC

25/06/2010

+

-

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

INTENEGINS

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

INTERCONT

25/06/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

JAPAULOIL

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

JBERGER

25/06/2010

+

+

- -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

LASACO

25/06/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

MAYBAKER

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

MBENEFIT

25/06/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

MULTIVERSE

25/06/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

NAHCO

25/06/2010

+

-

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

NASCON

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

NB

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

NBC

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

NEIMETH

25/06/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NEM

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

NESTLE

25/06/2010

+ + +

+ + +

- - -

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

NIGERINS

25/06/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

OANDO

25/06/2010

-

- - -

- - -

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

OCEANIC

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

PLATINUM

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

PRESTIGE

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

PZ

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

REDSTAREX

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

REGALINS

24/06/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

SKYEBANK

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

SOVRENINS

24/06/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

STARCOMMS

25/06/2010

+

-

+

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

STDINSURE

25/06/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

STERLNBANK

25/06/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

TANTALIZER

25/06/2010

+

-

+

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

UAC-PROP

25/06/2010

+

-

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

UACN

25/06/2010

+

-

+

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

UBA

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

UBN

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

UNHOMES

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

UNIC

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

UNILEVER

25/06/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

UNITYBNK

25/06/2010

+

-

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

UPL

25/06/2010

+

-

+

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

VITAFOAM

25/06/2010

+

-

+

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

WAPCO

25/06/2010

+

-

- -

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

WAPIC

25/06/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

WEMABANK

25/06/2010

+

-

+

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

ZENITHBANK

25/06/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

 

 

This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. TRW accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.
 
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