TRW WEEKLY REPORT FOR 4TH-7TH MAY 2010.

HAPPY WORKERS DAY. Hope you all had a nice holiday.

Market activities for the month of April closed with mixed reactions as the  NSE ASI only gained 1.88% (last poor rally seen in February), due to weak Financial End of Year scorecards that hit the market.

From a Daily technical perspective, All Indexes are in a Major corrective mode and we expect full corrections this week.

TECHNICAL VIEW

Below are technical RSI readings of all Indexes showing various trend movements.

So far only the INSURANCE & the OIL & GAS  sectors have confirmed a Bullish rally. While other sectors are about to cross the BULL line.

From my table readings I will take some profits when RSI hits the Bullish lines and go LONG when a Breakout with heavy volume occurs above the Bullish lines.

INDEX

CURRENT

SIDEWAYS

BULLISH

NSE ASI

49.05

 50.91-62.03

70.09-92.00

NSE 30

52.33

 33.77-54.58

55.97-89.28

NSE BANKING

43.94

 27.88-55.15

59.24-82.41

NSE FB&T

58.72

 56.39-70.38

70.38-89.45

NSE INSURANCE

48.57

 6.91-29.85

43.90-69.15

NSE OIL & GAS

73.32

 17.90-47.81

59.03-92.60

 OUTLOOK

So what does the month of MAY have installed for us?

Watching NSE index trend for 12 years  from 1998 till date, the month of MAY has a positive ratio of 8:4 and this Bullish trends last till late JUNE and early JULY periods. (TAKE NOTE)

With Positive 1st Quarter financials hitting the market we expect to see similar chart patterns repeat itself.

USE OUR TRW MULTIPLE TIME FRAME TABLE AS A GUIDE

HAVE A LOVELY TRADING WEEK.

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

WTD

MTD

NSE

30/04/2010

27400.21

26453.20

-3.46

1.88

NSE 30

30/04/2010

1115.53

1083.94

-2.83

4.20

NSE BANKING

30/04/2010

439.09

418.9

-4.60

-4.22

NSE F&B

30/04/2010

817.68

809.20

-1.04

10.45

NSE INS

30/04/2010

206.84

204.97

-0.90

-5.48

NSE O&G

30/04/2010

410.26

404.46

-1.41

32.20

 

WEEKLY GAINERS

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

Weekly

CONTINSURE

30/04/2010

1.09

1.36

24.77

BERGER

30/04/2010

7.94

8.33

4.91

SKYEBANK

30/04/2010

7.15

7.50

4.90

WEMABANK

30/04/2010

1.05

1.10

4.76

FLOURMILL

30/04/2010

71.50

73.99

3.48

NB

30/04/2010

68.99

70.14

1.67

UAC-PROP

30/04/2010

23.37

23.73

1.54

AP

30/04/2010

40.00

40.60

1.50

AGLEVENT

30/04/2010

3.80

3.85

1.32

CHAMS

30/04/2010

0.79

0.80

1.27

 

 

WEEKLY LOSERS
 

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

Weekly

UBA

30/04/2010

15.79

11.77

-25.46

GLAXOSMITH

30/04/2010

25.8

20.85

-19.19

NEM

30/04/2010

0.68

0.57

-16.18

INTENEGINS

30/04/2010

0.69

0.59

-14.49

NIGERINS

30/04/2010

1.39

1.20

-13.67

FIDSON

30/04/2010

3.30

2.86

-13.33

BIGTREAT

30/04/2010

1.00

0.87

-13.00

DAARCOMM

30/04/2010

1.25

1.09

-12.80

FCMB

30/04/2010

8.85

7.73

-12.66

AFRIBANK

30/04/2010

2.61

2.29

-12.26

CCNN

30/04/2010

21.90

19.22

-12.24

JBERGER

30/04/2010

60.00

53.01

-11.65

BAGCO

30/04/2010

3.40

3.03

-10.88

ASOSAVINGS

30/04/2010

0.57

0.51

-10.53

AIICO

30/04/2010

1.56

1.40

-10.26

OCEANIC

30/04/2010

2.00

1.80

-10.00

INTBREW

30/04/2010

5.71

5.15

-9.81

FTNCOCOA

30/04/2010

1.02

0.92

-9.80

7UP

30/04/2010

47.00

42.42

-9.74

UNITYBNK

30/04/2010

1.14

1.03

-9.65

UNHOMES

30/04/2010

0.98

0.89

-9.18

LASACO

30/04/2010

0.56

0.51

-8.93

PLATINUM

30/04/2010

1.48

1.36

-8.11

GUINNESS

30/04/2010

165.11

152.08

-7.89

IBTC

30/04/2010

9.70

8.99

-7.32

UACN

30/04/2010

54.20

50.31

-7.18

CRUSADER

30/04/2010

0.95

0.89

-6.32

INTERCONT

30/04/2010

1.74

1.63

-6.32

PZ

30/04/2010

31.94

30.03

-5.98

TANTALIZER

30/04/2010

1.2

1.13

-5.83

HMARKINS

30/04/2010

0.53

0.50

-5.66

FIDELITYBK

30/04/2010

3.01

2.84

-5.65

DANGFLOUR

30/04/2010

23.00

21.74

-5.48

COSTAIN

30/04/2010

8.85

8.37

-5.42

NAHCO

30/04/2010

12.74

12.05

-5.42

MBENEFIT

30/04/2010

0.57

0.54

-5.26

NASCON

30/04/2010

8.90

8.46

-4.94

UNIC

30/04/2010

0.81

0.77

-4.94

UPL

30/04/2010

8.30

7.89

-4.94

JAPAULOIL

30/04/2010

1.63

1.55

-4.91

OANDO

30/04/2010

126.00

120.00

-4.76

NSE BANKING

30/04/2010

439.09

418.9

-4.60

ABCTRANS

30/04/2010

1.10

1.05

-4.55

CORNERST

30/04/2010

0.78

0.75

-3.85

FIRSTBANK

30/04/2010

16.90

16.27

-3.73

UNILEVER

30/04/2010

28.01

27.00

-3.61

NSE

30/04/2010

27400.21

26453.2

-3.46

ACCESS

30/04/2010

9.53

9.21

-3.36

WAPCO

30/04/2010

42.28

41.00

-3.03

BCC

30/04/2010

65.97

64.05

-2.91

NSE 30

30/04/2010

1115.53

1083.94

-2.83

VITAFOAM

30/04/2010

6.66

6.50

-2.40

ZENITHBANK

30/04/2010

15.80

15.43

-2.34

REDSTAREX

30/04/2010

4.07

3.99

-1.97

ASHAKACEM

30/04/2010

21.40

210

-1.87

UBN

30/04/2010

6.00

5.90

-1.67

GUARANTY

30/04/2010

18.48

18.20

-1.52

NSE O&G

30/04/2010

410.26

404.46

-1.41

STARCOMMS

30/04/2010

2.15

2.12

-1.40

DIAMONDBNK

30/04/2010

8.17

8.08

-1.10

WAPIC

30/04/2010

0.94

0.93

-1.06

NSE F&B

30/04/2010

817.68

809.200

-1.04

NSE INS

30/04/2010

206.84

204.97

-0.90

CILEASING

30/04/2010

3.65

3.62

-0.82

DANGSUGAR

30/04/2010

18.80

18.66

-0.74

NBC

30/04/2010

34.30

34.21

-0.26

CONOIL

30/04/2010

56.14

56.13

-0.02

 

For 30/04/2010 the closing price was 26,453.19. NSE INDEX

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Short term: Prices are moving.

Intermediate term: Prices are trending.

The projected upper bound is: 27,422.54.

The projected lower bound is: 25,619.41.

The projected closing price is: 26,520.98.

Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For 30/04/2010 the closing price was 1,083.93 NSE 30

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Short term: Prices are moving.

Intermediate term: Prices are trending.

The projected upper bound is: 1,126.70.

The projected lower bound is: 1,047.75.

The projected closing price is: 1,087.23

Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For 30/04/2010 the closing price was 418.90.NSE BANKING

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Short term: Prices are moving.

Intermediate term: Prices are trending.

The projected upper bound is: 440.58

The projected lower bound is: 398.66

The projected closing price is: 419.62

Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.
 


For 30/04/2010 the closing price was 809.20.NSE FBT

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Short term: Prices are moving.

Intermediate term: Prices are trending.

The projected upper bound is: 849.37.

The projected lower bound is: 777.52

The projected closing price is: 813.44

Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For 30/04/2010 the closing price was 204.97.NSE INS

Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.

The projected upper bound is: 211.97.

The projected lower bound is: 197.70.

The projected closing price is: 204.83

Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For 30/04/2010 the closing price was 404.46.NSE OIL & GAS

Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.

Short term: Prices are stalling.

Intermediate term: Prices are trending.

The projected upper bound is: 424.33.

The projected lower bound is: 389.02.

The projected closing price is: 406.67.

Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

MULTIPLE TIME FRAME FOR TRADING

Ticker

Date

MA-140

MA-60

MA-8

Overall Trend

Trend Phase

Comments

7UP

30/04/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

ABCTRANS

30/04/2010

+

-

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

ACCESS

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

AFRIBANK

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend

AGLEVENT

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

AIICO

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

AP

30/04/2010

+

+

- -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

ASHAKACEM

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

ASOSAVINGS

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

 

Watch Trend

BAGCO

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

BCC

30/04/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Progress

Stay With The Trend

BERGER

30/04/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

BIGTREAT

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CCNN

30/04/2010

+

+

- -

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

CHAMS

30/04/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

CILEASING

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CONOIL

30/04/2010

+

+ +

+ + +

Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

CONTINSURE

30/04/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

CORNERST

30/04/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

COSTAIN

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CRUSADER

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend

CUSTODYINS

30/04/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

DAARCOMM

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

DANGFLOUR

30/04/2010

+

+

- -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

DANGSUGAR

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

DIAMONDBNK

30/04/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

FCMB

30/04/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

FIDELITYBK

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FIDSON

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FIRSTBANK

30/04/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

FIRSTINLND

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Mature

Mature trend with risk of bubble

FLOURMILL

30/04/2010

+ +

+ +

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

FTNCOCOA

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

GLAXOSMITH

30/04/2010

-

-

- - -

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

GUARANTY

30/04/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Progress

Stay With The Trend

GUINEAINS

30/04/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

GUINNESS

30/04/2010

+

+ +

- - -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

HMARKINS

30/04/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

IBTC

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

INTBREW

30/04/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

INTENEGINS

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

INTERCONT

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Mature

Mature trend with risk of bubble

JAPAULOIL

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

JBERGER

30/04/2010

+

+ +

- - -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

LASACO

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

MBENEFIT

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend

MULTIVERSE

30/04/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

NAHCO

30/04/2010

+

+

- -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NASCON

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NB

30/04/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

NBC

30/04/2010

+

+

- - -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NEM

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NESTLE

30/04/2010

+ + +

+ + +

+ + +

Strong Up Trend

Progress

Stay With The Trend

NIGERINS

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NSE

30/04/2010

+ + +

+ + +

- - -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NSE 30

30/04/2010

+ + +

+ + +

- - -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NSE BANKING

30/04/2010

+

+ +

- - -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NSE F&B

30/04/2010

+ + +

+ + +

- - -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NSE INS

30/04/2010

- - -

-

- -

Down Trend

 

Watch Trend

NSE O&G

30/04/2010

+ + +

+ + +

+ + +

Strong Up Trend

Initial

Stay With The Trend

OANDO

30/04/2010

+

+ +

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

OCEANIC

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Mature

Mature trend with risk of bubble

PLATINUM

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Mature

Mature trend with risk of bubble

PZ

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

REDSTAREX

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

SKYEBANK

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

SOVRENINS

30/04/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Mature

Mature trend with risk of bubble

STARCOMMS

30/04/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

TANTALIZER

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UAC-PROP

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UACN

30/04/2010

+

+

- -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UBA

30/04/2010

-

-

- -

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

UBN

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

UNHOMES

30/04/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend

UNIC

30/04/2010

-

 

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

UNILEVER

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

UNITYBNK

30/04/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UPL

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

VITAFOAM

30/04/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

WAPCO

30/04/2010

+

+

- -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

WAPIC

30/04/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend

WEMABANK

30/04/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

ZENITHBANK

30/04/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

 

This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. TRW accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.
INVEST FOR A GOLDEN TOMORROW