TRW WEEKLY REPORT FOR 8TH TO 12TH MARCH 2010.

Hi Guys, As earlier predicted, March continue to be a boring month because of its Earnings season. The markets continue to punish short term traders as they easily sliced through some resistance levels trending on a Lower Low range and loosing 62 points so far to close at 22,923.91. Market participants continue to shrug off bad news, and many indexes are close to testing their February Lows.

Though several individual stocks outperformed the Index, however, caution is certainly warranted at this point. While it’s quite possible that the February lows will hold (22.400 points) as an intermediate low, the short term move is becoming a little extended and thus vulnerable to a pullback.

 Overall, the markets remain in a trading range, and there are multiple scenarios that could equally apply to the next move. With most of the indexes sitting right smack dab in the middle of this range, it probably makes sense to be even more cautious than usual. The upcoming week should provide more clues as the indexes deal with the opposing forces on both sides of this range. Use TRW STOCKBROKERS STOCKS WATCH LIST FOR MULTIPLE TIME FRAME OF DAILY, WEEKLY & MONTHLY
 

TECHNICAL VIEW

Technically speaking, the financial markets seem to have put in a fresh low and look vulnerable to a continuation move lower. As you can see from the charts below, the technical picture remains much the same as last week, with some of the indexes having a difficult time overcoming the resistance of their respective 25-day moving averages, and same period most indicators keep trending in a lower low region and price trending flat. these are signs of HIDDEN BULLISH DIVERGENCE, but the bulls have a lot of work ahead of them if they'd like to send indexes to new highs.

Have a Great Trading week.

 

WEEKLY INDEX

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

%Change

NSE

05/03/2010

22985

22923.91

-0.27

NSE 30

05/03/2010

919.77

919.55

-0.02

NSE BANKING

05/03/2010

380.84

378.75

-0.55

NSE F&B

05/03/2010

618.6

634.48

2.57

NSE INS

05/03/2010

200.79

193.92

-3.42

NSE O&G

05/03/2010

309.59

303.24

-2.05

 

 

 

 

 WEEKLY GAINERS

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

% Change

CONOIL

05/03/2010

     34.17

     39.54

                 15.72

FTNCOCOA

05/03/2010

       0.87

       0.94

                   8.05

COSTAIN

05/03/2010

       5.00

       5.39

                   7.80

NAHCO

05/03/2010

       8.36

       8.89

                   6.34

ASOSAVINGS

05/03/2010

       0.65

       0.68

                   4.62

ACCESS

05/03/2010

       9.10

       9.51

                   4.51

STERLNBANK

05/03/2010

       1.73

       1.80

                   4.05

CORNERST

05/03/2010

       0.50

       0.52

                   4.00

INTERCONT

05/03/2010

       2.00

       2.08

                   4.00

UPL

05/03/2010

       5.50

       5.70

                   3.64

DANGSUGAR

05/03/2010

     16.00

     16.50

                   3.13

NASCON

05/03/2010

       6.20

       6.35

                   2.42

LASACO

05/03/2010

       0.51

       0.52

                   1.96

JAPAULOIL

05/03/2010

       1.24

       1.26

                   1.61

DANGFLOUR

05/03/2010

     12.70

     12.90

                   1.57

PZ

05/03/2010

     26.00

     26.40

                   1.54

FIRSTINLND

05/03/2010

       0.69

       0.70

                   1.45

UNHOMES

05/03/2010

       0.87

       0.88

                   1.15

CONTINSURE

05/03/2010

       0.95

       0.96

                   1.05

OCEANIC

05/03/2010

       2.08

       2.10

                   0.96

WEMABANK

05/03/2010

       1.15

       1.16

                   0.87

GUARANTY

05/03/2010

     18.06

     18.20

                   0.78

UNILEVER

05/03/2010

     25.00

     25.19

                   0.76

MAYBAKER

05/03/2010

       5.04

       5.05

                   0.20

NB

05/03/2010

     57.00

     57.05

                   0.09

 

 

 WEEKLY LOSERS

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

% Change

AP

05/03/2010

     47.46

     40.50

-14.66

AFRIBANK

05/03/2010

       2.70

       2.35

-12.96

TANTALIZER

05/03/2010

       0.99

       0.88

-11.11

UNIC

05/03/2010

       0.82

       0.73

-10.98

BIGTREAT

05/03/2010

       0.81

       0.73

-9.88

PLATINUM

05/03/2010

       1.91

       1.73

-9.42

BAGCO

05/03/2010

       2.34

       2.12

-9.40

DIAMONDBNK

05/03/2010

       9.35

       8.72

-6.74

UNITYBNK

05/03/2010

       1.15

       1.08

-6.09

INTENEGINS

05/03/2010

       0.57

       0.54

-5.26

PRESTIGE

05/03/2010

       3.61

       3.43

-4.99

SKYEBANK

05/03/2010

       7.36

       7.00

-4.89

FIDELITYBK

05/03/2010

       2.68

       2.56

-4.48

WAPIC

05/03/2010

       0.99

       0.95

-4.04

UBN

05/03/2010

       6.05

       5.85

-3.31

STARCOMMS

05/03/2010

       1.95

       1.89

-3.08

CILEASING

05/03/2010

       2.70

       2.62

-2.96

UAC-PROP

05/03/2010

     21.00

     20.50

-2.38

CUSTODYINS

05/03/2010

       2.95

       2.90

-1.69

FCMB

05/03/2010

       9.20

       9.05

-1.63

UACN

05/03/2010

     43.29

     42.59

-1.62

REDSTAREX

05/03/2010

       2.64

       2.60

-1.52

CHAMS

05/03/2010

       0.71

       0.70

-1.41

ASHAKACEM

05/03/2010

     16.20

     16.00

-1.23

WAPCO

05/03/2010

     35.20

     35.00

-0.57

VITAFOAM

05/03/2010

       4.72

       4.70

-0.42

FIRSTBANK

05/03/2010

     14.55

     14.50

-0.34

FLOURMILL

05/03/2010

     45.10

     45.00

-0.22

JBERGER

05/03/2010

     28.00

     27.95

-0.18

UBA

05/03/2010

     13.01

     13.00

-0.08

ZENITHBANK

05/03/2010

     15.71

     15.70

-0.06

BCC

05/03/2010

     50.07

     50.05

-0.04

For  5/03/2010 the closing price was 22,923.91.(NSE INDEX)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are Trending
The projected upper bound is: 23,562.07.
The projected lower bound is: 22,378.63.
The projected closing price is: 22,970.35.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market. market.


For 5/03/2010 the closing price was 919.55(NSE30)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are Trending.
The projected upper bound is: 947.09.
The projected lower bound is: 896.11.
The projected closing price is: 921.60.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For  5/03/2010 the closing price was 378.750.(NSE BANKING)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are Trending.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 394.37.
The projected lower bound is: 365.02.
The projected closing price is: 379.69.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market. market.

For  5/03/2010 the closing price was 634.48.(NSE FOOD, BEV.& TOBACCO)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
The projected upper bound is: 658.70.
The projected lower bound is: 614.98.
The projected closing price is: 636.84.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For  5/03/2010 the closing price was 193.92.(NSE INSURANCE)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
By the way, prices are vulnerable to a correction towards 224.55.
The projected upper bound is: 198.47.
The projected lower bound is: 187.12.
The projected closing price is: 192.79.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For  5/03/2010 the closing price was 303.24.(NSE OIL & GAS)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Uptrend.
Short term: Prices are stalling.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
The projected upper bound is: 308.25.
The projected lower bound is: 298.74.
The projected closing price is: 303.49.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

BELOW ARE TRW STOCKBROKERS STOCKS WATCH LIST FOR MULTIPLE TIME FRAME OF DAILY, WEEKLY & MONTHLY
SHORT TREND TRADERS TO USE MA 5
MEDIUM TREND TRADERS TO USE MA-50
LONG TERM TRADERS TO USE MA-100
MA (MOVING AVERAGE)


 

TICKER

DATE

MA-100

MA-50

MA-5

Overall Trend

Trend Phase

Comments

ACCESS

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

AFRIBANK

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

AIICO

05/03/2010

+

+

 

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

AP

05/03/2010

+

+

- - -

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

ASHAKACEM

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

ASOSAVINGS

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

BAGCO

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

BCC

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

BIGTREAT

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

CHAMS

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

CILEASING

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

CONOIL

05/03/2010

+

+

+ + +

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

CONTINSURE

05/03/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CORNERST

05/03/2010

-

 

+

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

COSTAIN

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

CRUSADER

05/03/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

CUSTODYINS

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

DANGFLOUR

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

DANGSUGAR

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

DIAMONDBNK

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FCMB

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FIDELITYBK

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FIRSTBANK

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

FIRSTINLND

05/03/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

FLOURMILL

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FTNCOCOA

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

GUARANTY

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Progress

Stay with Trend

GUINEAINS

05/03/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

GUINNESS

05/03/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

HMARKINS

05/03/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

IBTC

05/03/2010

+

+

 

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

INTENEGINS

05/03/2010

-

 

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

INTERCONT

05/03/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

JAPAULOIL

05/03/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

JBERGER

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

LASACO

05/03/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

MAYBAKER

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

MBENEFIT

05/03/2010

+

 

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

MULTIVERSE

05/03/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

NAHCO

05/03/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

NASCON

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

NB

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

NBC

05/03/2010

+

+

 

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NEIMETH

05/03/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

NEM

05/03/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

NESTLE

05/03/2010

+ + +

+ + +

 

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

NIGERINS

05/03/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

OANDO

05/03/2010

+

 

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

OCEANIC

05/03/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

PLATINUM

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

PRESTIGE

05/03/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

PZ

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

REDSTAREX

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

REGALINS

04/03/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

SKYEBANK

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

SOVRENINS

05/03/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

STARCOMMS

05/03/2010

-

 

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

STDINSURE

05/03/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

STERLNBANK

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

TANTALIZER

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UAC-PROP

05/03/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

UACN

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UBA

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

UBN

05/03/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

UNHOMES

05/03/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

UNIC

05/03/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

UNILEVER

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Progress

Stay with Trend

UNITYBNK

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

UPL

05/03/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

VITAFOAM

05/03/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

WAPCO

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

WAPIC

05/03/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

WEMABANK

05/03/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

ZENITHBANK

05/03/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

 

This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. TRW accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.
 
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