TRW WEEKLY REPORT FOR 15TH-19TH, FEBRUARY 2010

The week started on a very bright note as the index continued its last week's upward rally till wednesday, though tuesday and wednesday showed some signs of weak momentum as the index was bolstered upwards, but the sellers kept coming, this pressure pulled down the market. The Bulls tried holding on to the upward grip, but the bears charged like wounded hyenas and wiped out all gains for the week closing the NSE All SHARES INDEX at 22,967.26 points.

TECHNICAL VIEW

Despite market weakness, Most major Index are trading above its 25-day moving average and RSI recording high readings above  50 points.

There are possible scenarios the Index will trend along its 25-DMA of 22,640 range  If the markets do follow through on weakness, this would be the area to watch for signs of possible support. A move back into the prior base would be a bearish development, and probable cause for taking a defensive posture in most traders' portfolios,
The same view applies to NSE 30,NSE Banking & NSE FB&T.

NSE Insurance has been trending below 25DMA since last October, while NSE Food Beverages & Tobacco broke its 25DMA this week, position within these sector is strictly going SHOT.  


Bottom Line

Stepping back, the weak performance for the markets as we kick off earnings season is definitely a cause of concern for the bulls. A reversal after breaking to new highs could put in a long-term top and, as such, bulls should be cautious. However, technically speaking, the markets remain above their bases and rising moving averages. Despite some red flags, the benefit of the doubt remains with the bulls until further deterioration occurs in the charts. The recent lows that coincide with prior consolidation areas are the level to watch for now. If the market begin to fall back into their bases, then bulls would be wise to take a more cautious approach.
 

Use the "TRW STOCKBROKERS STOCKS WATCH LIST FOR MULTIPLE TIME FRAME OF DAILY, WEEKLY & MONTHLY" as a guide to know what Time frame you want to trade.

HAVE A NICE TRADING WEEK

You want to learn more on RSI....
http://www.investopedia.com/articles/technical/071601.asp

WEEKLY INDEX

Ticker

Date

Previous

Price

%Change

NSE

12/02/2010

23226.28

22967.26

-1.12

NSE 30

12/02/2010

921.14

914.3

-0.74

NSE BANKING

12/02/2010

391.11

380

-2.84

NSE F&B

12/02/2010

599.33

593.92

-0.90

NSE INS

12/02/2010

218.11

213.94

-1.91

NSE O&G

12/02/2010

299.04

293.84

-1.74

LAST WEEK INDEX

Ticker Date Previous Price %Change
NSE 05/02/2010   22,594.90  23,226.28     2.79
NSE 30 05/02/2010        891.25        921.14     3.35
NSE BANKING 05/02/2010        374.27         391.11     4.50
NSE F&B 05/02/2010        596.22       599.33     0.52
NSE INS 05/02/2010        223.19

        218.11

   -2.28

NSE O&G 05/02/2010        298.31       299.04     0.24
WEEKLY GAINERS
Ticker Date Previous Price %Change
FTNCOCOA 12/02/2010        0.86        1.06      23.26
STERLNBANK 12/02/2010        1.60        1.84      15.00
FLOURMILL 12/02/2010      38.01      42.00      10.50
UNIC 12/02/2010        0.76        0.83        9.21
BIGTREAT 12/02/2010        0.81        0.88        8.64
BAGCO 12/02/2010        1.99        2.16        8.54
ASHAKACEM 12/02/2010      14.96      16.00        6.95
OCEANIC 12/02/2010        2.18        2.30        5.50
NB 12/02/2010      57.00      60.00        5.26
DANGFLOUR 12/02/2010      12.37      12.99        5.01
AIICO 12/02/2010        1.05        1.10        4.76
UNILEVER 12/02/2010      24.00      25.00        4.17
JAPAULOIL 12/02/2010        1.22        1.27        4.10
WEMABANK 12/02/2010        1.28        1.33        3.91
UPL 12/02/2010        4.89        5.05        3.27
CONTINSURE 12/02/2010        0.97        1.00        3.09
CUSTODYINS 12/02/2010        2.92        2.99        2.40
GUARANTY 12/02/2010      18.00      18.40        2.22
ACCESS 12/02/2010        9.12        9.30        1.97
GUINNESS 12/02/2010     128.02     129.00        0.77
WAPCO 12/02/2010      34.28      34.50        0.64
WEEKLY LOSERS
Ticker Date Previous Price %Change
UNHOMES 12/02/2010 1.12 0.91 -18.75
STDINSURE 12/02/2010 0.68 0.57 -16.18
STARCOMMS 12/02/2010 2.33 2.07 -11.16
COSTAIN 12/02/2010 5.95 5.29 -11.09
IBTC 12/02/2010 9.10 8.25 -9.34
NEIMETH 12/02/2010 1.64 1.49 -9.15
REDSTAREX 12/02/2010 2.64 2.44 -7.58
UBA 12/02/2010 13.68 12.7 -7.16
CORNERST 12/02/2010 0.56 0.52 -7.14
CRUSADER 12/02/2010 1.02 0.95 -6.86
PLATINUM 12/02/2010 2.09 1.98 -5.26
NBC 12/02/2010 28.5 27.10 -4.91
DANGSUGAR 12/02/2010 15.96 15.20 -4.76
UAC-PROP 12/02/2010 21.00 20.00 -4.76
SKYEBANK 12/02/2010 7.69 7.35 -4.42
NASCON 12/02/2010 6.65 6.36 -4.36
VITAFOAM 12/02/2010 5.00 4.80 -4.00
UNITYBNK 12/02/2010 1.04 1.00 -3.85
LASACO 12/02/2010 0.54 0.52 -3.70
AP 12/02/2010 39.37 38.00 -3.48
UACN 12/02/2010 41.9 40.51 -3.32
TANTALIZER 12/02/2010 0.93 0.90 -3.23
DIAMONDBNK 12/02/2010 9.27 90.00 -2.91
FCMB 12/02/2010 9.52 9.26 -2.73
CHAMS 12/02/2010 0.75 0.73 -2.67
NIGERINS 12/02/2010 0.78 0.76 -2.56
FIRSTBANK 12/02/2010 15.17 14.8 -2.44
NEM 12/02/2010 0.56 0.55 -1.79
JBERGER 12/02/2010 28.50 28.00 -1.75
INTENEGINS 12/02/2010 0.59 0.58 -1.69
ZENITHBANK 12/02/2010 15.85 15.59 -1.64
CILEASING 12/02/2010 2.66 2.62 -1.50
WAPIC 12/02/2010 0.95 0.94 -1.05
INTERCONT 12/02/2010 2.18 2.16 -0.92
NESTLE 12/02/2010 270 268 -0.74
NAHCO 12/02/2010 8.55 8.50 -0.58
FIDELITYBK 12/02/2010 2.66 2.65 -0.38
AFRIBANK 12/02/2010 3.01 3.00 -0.33

For 12/02/2010 the closing price was 22,967.25.(NSE INDEX)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are stalling.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 23,643.96.
The projected lower bound is: 22,374.54.
The projected closing price is: 23,010.25.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.


For 12/02/2010 the closing price was 914.30(NSE30)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are stalling.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 942.60.
The projected lower bound is: 889.94.
The projected closing price is: 916.27.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

 

For 12/02/2010 the closing price was 380.00.(NSE BANKING)
Overall, the bias in prices is: upwards.
Short term: Prices are stalling.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
The projected upper bound is: 397.72.
The projected lower bound is: 364.15
The projected closing price is: 380.94
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For 12/02/2010 the closing price was 593.92.(NSE FOOD BEV & TOBACCO)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Upwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
The projected upper bound is: 618.40.
The projected lower bound is: 573.33
The projected closing price is: 595.87.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.


For 12/02/2010 the closing price was 213.94.(NSE INSURANCE)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Downwards.
Short term: Prices are moving.
Intermediate term: Prices are trending.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 219.04
The projected lower bound is: 207.24
The projected closing price is: 213.14.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

For 12/02/2010 the closing price was 293.84.(NSE OIL & GAS)
Overall, the bias in prices is: Sideways.
Short term: Prices are stalling.
Intermediate term: Prices are ranging.
Note: this chart shows extraordinary price action to the downside.
The projected upper bound is: 297.15
The projected lower bound is: 290.59.
The projected closing price is: 293.87.
Note: these price projections are for reference only, and can be easily exceeded by the market.

BELOW ARE TRW STOCKBROKERS STOCKS WATCH LIST FOR MULTIPLE TIME FRAME OF DAILY, WEEKLY & MONTHLY
SHORT TREND TRADERS TO USE MA 5
MEDIUM TREND TRADERS TO USE MA-50
LONG TERM TRADERS TO USE MA-100
MA (MOVING AVERAGE)

TICKER

DATE

MA-100

MA-50

MA-5

Overall Trend

Trend Phase

Comments

ACCESS

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

AFRIBANK

12/02/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

AIICO

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

AP

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

ASHAKACEM

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

ASOSAVINGS

12/02/2010

-

+

 

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

BAGCO

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

BCC

12/02/2010

+

+

 

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

BIGTREAT

12/02/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

CHAMS

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CILEASING

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CONOIL

12/02/2010

-

+

 

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

CONTINSURE

12/02/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CORNERST

12/02/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

COSTAIN

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

CRUSADER

12/02/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

CUSTODYINS

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

DANGFLOUR

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

DANGSUGAR

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

DIAMONDBNK

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FCMB

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FIDELITYBK

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FIRSTBANK

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

FIRSTINLND

12/02/2010

-

+

 

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

FLOURMILL

12/02/2010

+

+

+ + +

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

FTNCOCOA

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

GUARANTY

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Progress

Stay with Trend

GUINEAINS

11/02/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

GUINNESS

12/02/2010

-

-

+

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

HMARKINS

12/02/2010

-

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

IBTC

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

INTENEGINS

12/02/2010

-

 

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

INTERCONT

12/02/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

JAPAULOIL

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

JBERGER

12/02/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

LASACO

12/02/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

MAYBAKER

12/02/2010

+

+

 

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

MBENEFIT

12/02/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

MULTIVERSE

12/02/2010

 

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

NAHCO

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NASCON

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NB

12/02/2010

+

+

+ +

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

NBC

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

NEIMETH

12/02/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

NEM

12/02/2010

+

 

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

NESTLE

12/02/2010

+ + +

+ + +

- -

No Trend

Progress

Risk for short term reversal

NIGERINS

12/02/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

OANDO

12/02/2010

+

 

 

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

OCEANIC

12/02/2010

-

+

+

No Trend

Progress

live to trade another day

PLATINUM

12/02/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Progress

trading range-avoid

PRESTIGE

12/02/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

PZ

12/02/2010

+

+

 

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

REDSTAREX

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

REGALINS

04/02/2010

-

 

 

Down Trend

Initial

Watch Trend?

SKYEBANK

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

SOVRENINS

12/02/2010

-

 

 

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

STARCOMMS

12/02/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

STDINSURE

12/02/2010

-

+

-

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

STERLNBANK

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

TANTALIZER

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UAC-PROP

12/02/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

UACN

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UBA

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UBN

12/02/2010

-

-

 

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

UNHOMES

12/02/2010

-

-

-

Down Trend

Progress

Watch Trend?

UNIC

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

UNILEVER

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Progress

Stay with Trend

UNITYBNK

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

UPL

12/02/2010

+

-

+

No Trend

Initial

trading range-avoid

VITAFOAM

12/02/2010

+

-

-

No Trend

Initial

live to trade another day

WAPCO

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

WAPIC

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

WEMABANK

12/02/2010

+

+

+

Up Trend

Initial

Stay with Trend

ZENITHBANK

12/02/2010

+

+

-

No Trend

Initial

Risk for short term reversal

This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. TRW accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.
 
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