ARE BULLS RUNNING OUT OF STEAM ?..

The index moved by 10 points today closing a Long Bullish rally at 25,015.71. Total value of stock was N4.056bn.

What we discussed yesterday seem to be materializing, some traders did pull that trigger today sending signals of a PANIC SELL. First casualty was Fidelity bank, from an early up 5% at (N3.58) bid of 5million units bid dropped  down to N3.24 and rallied back to close at N3.35. Afribank shares made similar trend and rallied back.

This current rally might experience a pullback within 25,000 - 24,800 points. But base support will be 25,000 points. This  isn't the kind of long drawn kind of pullback but rather a quick short term pullback to digest the short term overbought condition in order for the market to continue higher in a healthy manner. I am not predicting a market top here. This recovery market has a lot more to go before it hits the next top. In fact, what I am suggesting here is a possible entry point following the coming short pullback, so please don't interpret this negatively.

From a Technical view, RSI is now above 70 for the NSE ASI index which puts it into nose bleed overbought conditions.

However, internals for the market are still positive.

So, see this as an overbought market where for the short-term it is best to wait for the next pullback or consolidation period before buying - but NOT a market to be fearful of a new bear market starting or to get overly bearish about.

I also doubt we'll see a meaningful correction start until we get to the beginning of April earnings period.

 

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This commentary is not a recommendation to buy or sell, but rather a guideline to interpreting the specified indicators. This information should only be used by investors who are aware of the risk inherent in securities trading. TRW accepts no liability whatsoever for any loss arising from any use of this expert or its contents.
 
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